https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/ Weekly early-warning intelligence on democratic backsliding, institutional erosion, and state capture — tracking V-Dem and Freedom House signals before annual indices catch up. Published every Monday. en-gb Sat, 30 May 2026 19:03:46 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-30-weekly-brief/ Sat, 30 May 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-30-weekly-brief/ The V-Dem 2026 identification of the United States as the fastest autocratizing democracy in modern comparative politics represents a structural shift in the geography of democratic erosion and underm https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-27-weekly-brief/ Wed, 27 May 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-27-weekly-brief/ The V-Dem 2026 identification of the United States as the fastest autocratizing democracy in modern comparative politics represents a structural shift in the geography of democratic erosion and underm https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-23-weekly-brief/ Sat, 23 May 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-23-weekly-brief/ The 2026 US midterms represent the most significant electoral integrity stress test in a consolidated democracy since the V-Dem ERT dataset began in 1900. The combination of 75+ career official purges https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-12-weekly-brief/ Tue, 12 May 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-12-weekly-brief/ Georgia third foreign-funding law package combined with criminal prosecution of eight opposition leaders and Constitutional Court petition targeting entire nine-party opposition alliance represents th https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-09-weekly-brief/ Sat, 09 May 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-09-weekly-brief/ Georgia third foreign-funding law package combined with criminal prosecution of eight opposition leaders and Constitutional Court petition targeting entire nine-party opposition alliance represents th https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-05-weekly-brief/ Tue, 05 May 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-05-05-weekly-brief/ The criminalisation of journalism represents a qualitative shift in press freedom suppression mechanisms globally, enabling regimes to maintain electoral autocracy classifications while suppressing pr https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-27-weekly-brief/ Mon, 27 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-27-weekly-brief/ United States has crossed threshold into electoral democracy status with structural risks to multiple democratic pillars https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-20-weekly-brief/ Mon, 20 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-20-weekly-brief/ Hungary exemplifies autocratisation from within via institutional capture https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-18-weekly-brief/ Sat, 18 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-18-weekly-brief/ US faces rapid institutional decay with vdem_ert_active across multiple pillars https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-13-weekly-brief/ Mon, 13 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-13-weekly-brief/ US institutional capture accelerates autocratization risking FIMI vulnerability https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-12-weekly-brief/ Sun, 12 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-12-weekly-brief/ https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-06-weekly-brief/ Mon, 06 Apr 2026 06:07:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-06-weekly-brief/ Hungary votes on April 12 with Tisza polling 19–23 points ahead of Fidesz — the most consequential EU electoral test in a decade — while Benin holds a closed presidential contest on the same day and the US executive-SCOTUS confrontation enters a new phase. https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-01-weekly-brief/ Wed, 01 Apr 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-04-01-weekly-brief/ Hungary enters the final 11 days with aggregate polling at 50.8% for Tisza — a potential end to 16 years of illiberal rule — while the US Supreme Court heard oral arguments testing whether the 14th Amendment citizenship clause can be reinterpreted by executive order alone. https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-03-30-weekly-brief/ Mon, 30 Mar 2026 06:00:00 +0000 https://asym-intel.info/monitors/democratic-integrity/2026-03-30-weekly-brief/ Tisza leads Fidesz by 23 points with 13 days to Hungary's April 12 election; Georgia's new March 2026 law package completes its civil society capture architecture; and the Philippines enters the heatmap as a new Rapid Decay entry after CIVICUS adds it to its Watchlist at Repressed rating.